Tulisan di bawah ini adalah dari Victor Niederhoffer, dalam bukunya yang sangat saya rekomendasikan: “The education of a speculator”. Mari kita renungkan dalam-dalam.
“Take account of ecology. Where does the other side live? What does he eat? Does he respond best to slow or fast lures? Always consider the rhythms. Try to synchronize your activities with how fast or slow the currents are moving.
Everything is hooked together. To get good results, pay attention to language, science, economics, literature, religion, and art. Remember Hamlet, “A man may fish with the worm that hath eat of a king and eat of the fish that hath fed of that worm.
If you must know how good you are, enter a contest or tournament, but remember that completely different techniques are appropriate here from those that win in the normal day-to-day fray. The winner of a contest has nothing to lose and therefore takes much more risk than would be appropriate for you of I even to consider in the usual course of events.
Above all, be a contrarian. Once you hit a winner you’re very unlikely to find a winner in that same place. The best fish swim deep and all fish are not caught with the same flies.
Everything is affected by the weather. When the moon is full the easiest pickings are often nearest at hand. The wind is your friend but often the direction of the wind changes the play and the responses of the prey.
The weakest prey are the easiest to catch. When you see red on the battlefield, prepare to reel in the biggest winners.
Stay calm. Keep your emotions in check. A loud voice can upset your concentration and give away your position. The time for exhilaration is after you’ve bagged the winner and you’ve gone home to reflect on what you did right or wrong. Adapt a scientific approach. Keep records of what’s working and what’s not. Once you analyze the record you will be able to see what changes have the best likelihood of success. Especially if you’re doing badly, change something. Try another track — change your bait. But be humble enough to know that there are many others better than you at the game and try to learn from these legends. Many of the greats offer seminars for “reasonable” fees and are happy to share their wisdom with you.
The cycles are always changing. Winning techniques for the morning are completely different from those at noon or the close.”
Bagian yang digarisbawahi adalah bagian yang, pada saat ini, saya pikir penting.